Thursday, March 01, 2007

It's Not One Campaign It's Not One Campaign

National Journal: It's Not One Campaign suggests that there are two groups of major candidates for president right now. In the one group, consisting of McCain, Romney, and Edwards, the candidates are running for their nomination, expecting to be able to tack back to the middle if and when the get their nomination. In the second group, consisting of Obama and Clinton, the candidates are sure of their support from their party's base, and thus are already tacking to the middle to prepare for the general election. But then there is Guliani who is successfully doing both at once.

Of course, you could argue that at least Obama has to be doing this, as he is by far the most extreme of those six major party candidates, and thus has the furthest to go. Add to this that the African-American portion of the Democratic Party is one of that party's more liberal factions.

Nevertheless, the distinction here is most likely that for those candidates moving outwards in order to attract their party's base, their chances are long shots, and thus it is far more important to them to get the nomination than to assume that, and move to the center. Hillary, of course, is still the overall front runner, and so it makes perfect sense for her to be starting to reposition herself to be more attractive to swing voters. And Guliani is popular enough to start doing this too. But why Obama?


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